This is how LGTBI people vote: 60% would support PSOE, Sumar and Podemos in the European elections and 30% would support PP and Vox
If the European elections next June were held today and only the collective voted LGTBI, victory would be clear for the center-left bloc: of the 61 seats that correspond to Spain in the European Parliamentor, most would take them PSOE, Sumar and Podemos (24, 11 and 4 respectively) while at PP 14 and three would end up Vox. The coalition would have the same number of MEPs Now Republics and two others together, according to the survey carried out by 40dB for LGTBI State Federation (FELGTBI+) presented this Wednesday.
It is the translation into seats of the estimated votes, which would give the absolute majority to the center and left-wing positions. Thus, the party of Pedro Sánchez would obtain 35% of the support, followed by the PP (21,8%) and Sumar (17,5%). Behind would be Podemos, for whom 6,2% of the LGTBI electorate would vote, and hot on its heels would be Vox, for which 5,4% would support. The interviews were carried out online between February 23 and March 13.
This is the second time it has been studied in Spain Who does the group vote for? LGTBI, of which, according to the CIS, it is estimated that it is part of between 7 and 8% of the population. There are between 1,7 and 2 million valid votes. However, it is not clear that everyone will cast their ballot at the polls on June 9: research shows that not even four out of ten LGTBI people (36,8%) are 100% sure that they will vote if they vote.
Absolute majority PSOE-Sumar
The collective LGTBI is mobilized, but less than the general population. The survey, which also asks what would happen if there were general elections tomorrow in Spain, reveals that only 41,3% of LGTBI voters are completely convinced that they would go to vote, while among the rest of the people the figure rises to 57,2%, according to the barometer carried out by 40dB for El País last year. March, with which the survey compares results.
In those hypothetical elections, if they only depended on the choice of the people LGTBI, the current Government coalition, PSOE and Sumar, would far exceed the absolute majority by reaching 221 seats. The match of Alberto Núñez-Feijóo and the extreme right (with 88 and 11 seats respectively) would not reach a hundred deputies. The most voted force would be the PSOE, with 34% of support, 3,3 points below what the general population would give it. And this would give victory to the PP, with 35,2% of support while, among LGTBI people, 22,1% would vote for the conservative party.
The differences are also palpable between the rest of the parties: almost one in four people in the group would vote for Sumar (23,1%) and 11,1% of the general population. Vox reports 7,2% of LGTBI people, which in the case of the general population rises to 10,6%.
More left-wing
The survey, which was carried out on 800 Spaniards of legal age, shows that people LGTBI are mostly left-wing. 45,3% of those surveyed placed themselves between 0 and 4, with 0 being the extreme left, compared to 25,9% who did so in the opposite direction, on the right. 17,3% responded by placing themselves in the center of the table. The study reflects that there is no significant difference between the group and the general population when it comes to defining themselves ideologically, but one characteristic distinguishes them: beyond their ideology, LGTBI people vote more for left-wing parties.
In fact, the report reveals that 31,7% of ideologically right-wing LGTBI voters supported the PSOE or Sumar in the last general elections on July 23 in “a clear electoral anomaly,” as described by the FELGTB. Thus, when asked who they voted for in the elections, 25,5% of right-wing LGTBI people chose the socialists and 6,11% chose Sumar, which means that 8,2% of LGTBI voters are from right but they vote for the formations of Pedro Sánchez and Yolanda Díaz, close to 150.000 votes. Among those who consider themselves left-wing, almost half (48,65) supported the PSOE and 36,1% supported Sumar.
Vote to protect LGTBI rights
For the Secretary of Organization of the LGTBI+ State Federation, Ignacio Paredero, the explanation for this transfer of votes from people ideologically located on the right who end up supporting leftist forces is that “quite possibly"whatever they are doing"is to protect your rights" before the anti-LGBT offensive that the parties of Feijóo and Santiago Abascal they starred in the face of the elections. In fact, 64,7% of those surveyed answered yes to the question of whether the 23J voted “to defend their rights” while 35,2% did so for other reasons.
By party, the PSOE took almost 30% of the LGTBI votes, followed by Sumar (17,7%), the Popular Party (13,5%) and Vox, which they now claim 5,9%. % of the voters of the group. And not all political forces are seen the same by those surveyed: among LGTBI people, the one they believe defends their rights the most is Sumar, of which 55,6% think that it is very or quite committed, followed by the PSOE (47,6 .27,2%), a party to which, however, 14,6% attribute little commitment and 80% none. Something that 70% of the people in the group think about Vox and 17% of the PP. Even so, there are 9,5% who claim that the popular are very or quite committed to LGTBI rights and XNUMX% who affirm this on the extreme right.
